Weather - Polar vortex? Nope. Blame Japan typhoon for cooler temperatures

Published on Friday, 11 July 2014 22:50 - Written by From Staff and Wire Reports

CHICAGO — Unseasonably cool weather will arrive next week in the Midwest and as far south as Arkansas and Oklahoma.

It is not, however, the second coming of a polar vortex, a phrase the National Weather Service’s Chicago office tweeted earlier this week to describe the upcoming sweater weather. The office quickly learned that wasn’t such a good idea, said Amy Seeley, a weather service meteorologist who spent a good chunk of Friday morning fielding a flood of telephone calls from the media.

“I think people are pretty sensitive to those words,” she said.

 

WHAT’S TO BLAME?

Though Typhoon Neoguri has weakened since hitting Japan, it altered the path of the North Pacific jet stream, allowing polar air behind a trough of low pressure to spill out of Canada and into the Midwest, says Weather Underground meteorology director Jeff Masters.

It’s similar to the polar vortex pattern from the winter that turned much of the U.S. into a freezer for weeks at a time, breaking low temperature records in numerous states. But there are key differences, Masters says. This air mass is coming from western Canada and not directly from the arctic, plus the polar vortex is not nearly as strong in the summer — and sometimes breaks down completely.

HOW COLD WILL IT GET?

Between Monday and Wednesday, temperatures in the Midwest will be as much as 15 degrees lower than normal, with the biggest drops seen close to the Great Lakes, though people in Oklahoma and Arkansas will need to break out pants, too.

Meanwhile, the usually temperate Pacific Northwest should get ready to sweat. Places such as Seattle could reach 90 or higher next week, Masters said.

KYTX CBS 19 Meteorologist Doc Deason said in Tyler, a good cold front will likely come through on Tuesday, but that doesn’t mean cold temperatures.

“Our geographic setup is not going to allow for things to get too out of control,” Deason said, although any relief is welcome.

Deason said normal high temperatures for next week are in the 90s, but he projects lows in the 70s through next week.

“We’ll see how it tracks over the weekend,” he said.

He said the record low temperature for July 15 is 51 degrees, which happened in 1967.

Aside from the projected cold front, there are chances for rain on and off Tuesday through Friday, Deason said.

He said any rain will “pay dividends” as it gets into August.

Chicago would normally see highs in the 80s and lows in the mid-60s, but the weather service says highs early next week will climb no higher than the mid-60s — maybe 70 degrees — and lows could dip into the upper 40s.

The cool spell is coming at the wrong time for some athletes who are preparing for a triathlon in Wisconsin next weekend. If Lake Michigan is too cold, the swimming portion won’t happen.

“It’s disappointing because you’ve done all the preparations for it,” said Elizabeth Waterstraat, who has been coaching several people from suburban Chicago.

 

WHAT DOES IT MEAN?

That sound you hear coming from Oklahoma might be thousands or people turning off their money-gobbling air conditioners. It also could be the cheers of those who make their living working outside, such as the employees at a Tulsa nursery, whose job entails hauling trees and shrubs around town.

“We love it,” Paul James, marketing manager for Southwood Landscape & Garden Center, said of the forecast for temperatures running about 15 degrees lower than the typical 93- or 94-degree July days. “Any day you don’t get above 100 degrees.”

Further north, the forecast is more bad news at the Maple Lane Resort in the western Michigan community of Empire, along Glen Lake, near Lake Michigan. This summer’s generally cooler weather already has affected business.

“We are fully booked for weekends here this summer, but we are seeing less families spend a week up here,” office manager Amanda Rennie said. “Last year, the stays were longer, (and) I think this may have something to do with the weather.”